couple that with technology trends. i would argue that no party has harnessed effectively the internet. that will provide a platform for delivering messages, organizing, fund raising, etc. adequatelynk we can predict where this thing is going over the next years, but i think we are in for some unexpected surprises. i don't think we can even predict what it is like. we will be looking at a horizon that looks so different from today, i don't think we could even forecast what that might be. >> i would save your a historian and you looked at 2012, you would have expected a third- party candidate. historically, if you have a bad recession and an apparently failed presidency who promises hopes and change, it was a classic scenario where you should have had a 1992-like program. i have wondered if there is something of structural, or is it just an accident of history? obama has us in these peculiar positions. he was the first african- american president so look left could not really challenge him. >> bloomberg would run in the